Damir Dzumhur – Ricardas Berankis Preview and Predictions (25.10.2017)

ATP Vienna, 1st round, hardcourt (indoor).

Berankis took the form in Moscow last week, where he ended in the final. Dzumhur won the tournament, but the result was not quite fair: Berankis won by far the most balls. With some luck he can take victory this time.

It speaks for the game
Berankis won far more balls than Dzumhur in the final in Moscow. He ended with a dominance ratio of 1.32 (*).
Berankis missed 18 out of 21 breakbols in the final against Dzumhur. A little more luck in the crucial situations, had probably given him victory.
Dzumhur won 3 out of 4 breakbolde in the final. Again, a little more luck in the crucial situations, and the battle would look different.
Berankis should be keen on the return after the defeat in the final in Moscow.
Berankis found the shape again after a long period of fighting back from damage. He usually plays really well indoors.
The fatigue factor should be settled as they both played many matches in Moscow.
Berankis leads h2h 3-2.

It speaks against the game
Berankis missed the first half of the season due to injuries. It is only after he has come indoors that it has looked good again.
Dzumhur probably has the mental acquisition after the victory in Moscow.
Dzumhur won the crucial balls in the final. It may be in the head of Berankis for this match as well.
Dzumhur has played really nice tennis since the US Open, where he has two titles and a semifinal in Shenzhen.
Dzumhur is playing full confidence at the moment. He has only lost to Dolgopolov, Dimitrov and Rublev since the US Open.
Pinnacle closed at 3.29 in Moscow on Berankis. It is up to the market that the level is closer to the two than 3.29
Dzumhur has won the last two races.