Poland 7 points and Italy 6. This is the current order of the UEFA Nations League “A” Group 1 classification on the eve of the fifth and penultimate matchday of the qualifying round. Roberto Mancini’s blues will have to try everything out at Mapei Stadium in Reggio Emila to overtake Robert Lewandowski and his teammates. The coach followed from home the last friendly match won by Italy against Estonia 4-0 due to his positivity to COVID-19: Vincenzo Girfo (2 goals), Federico Bernardeschi and Riccardo Orsolini scored the Italian goals. Jerzy Brzeczek’s Poland comes to this meeting after a 2-0 friendly win against Ukraine thanks to goals from former Genoa and Milan player Krzysztof Piatek and Jakub Moder. In the first leg, on 11 October, he finished 0-0.
In the last 10 games played, Italy has conceded just 3 goals overall compared to 32 goals scored.
Italy is unbeaten in 20 consecutive games.
Poland has not conceded a goal in the last 3 games played.
There have been 4 Under 2.5 in the last 4 games between Italy and Poland. The last Over 2.5 dates back to 17 years ago in a friendly match won by Poland 3-1.
We are aiming for the Under 2.5 in this delicate challenge from Reggio Emilia. Italy will have to do everything to win but the defences are grim and have so far conceded just 2 goals each. Italy, among other things, scored just 3 goals overall in the first 4 matches of the group.
Betting Tips: Under 2.5
Odds: 1.6
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